CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-09-17T13:38:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-09-17T13:38ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/26962/-1
CME Note: Beautiful bright 3-part CME with the the source a slowly developing eruption of a large filament off the SW limb (~S40W90), with a faint opening of field lines seemingly behind the limb seen in AIA 171/193/304 indicating that the eruption might be more backsided (behind the limb). The filament eruption is best seen in its earlier stages in EUVI A 304 and in its later stages in GOES SUVI 304. The eruption is seen starting after 2023-09-17T10:45Z.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-09-21T12:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 20.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 70.75 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2023-09-18T13:15Z
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